Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.001218 0.001371 0.001524 0.001688 0.001858 0.002030 0.002216
2025-11-02 0.000967 0.001187 0.001414 0.001663 0.001928 0.002200 0.002499
2025-11-09 0.000776 0.001044 0.001330 0.001651 0.001999 0.002361 0.002763
2025-11-16 0.000625 0.000930 0.001264 0.001648 0.002071 0.002517 0.003019
2025-11-23 0.000502 0.000832 0.001208 0.001649 0.002141 0.002667 0.003262
2025-11-30 0.000433 0.000792 0.001210 0.001709 0.002274 0.002880 0.003571
2025-12-07 0.000339 0.000710 0.001157 0.001703 0.002328 0.003004 0.003781
2025-12-14 0.000246 0.000616 0.001084 0.001667 0.002344 0.003084 0.003938
2025-12-21 0.000197 0.000576 0.001072 0.001699 0.002434 0.003243 0.004180
2025-12-28 0.000132 0.000500 0.001009 0.001668 0.002449 0.003315 0.004324
2026-01-04 0.000090 0.000453 0.000979 0.001673 0.002504 0.003430 0.004514
2026-01-11 0.000051 0.000396 0.000932 0.001654 0.002528 0.003509 0.004661
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000325 0.000874 0.001636 0.002572 0.003633 0.004886
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000260 0.000816 0.001617 0.002617 0.003758 0.005114
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000205 0.000768 0.001608 0.002672 0.003896 0.005357
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000160 0.000728 0.001607 0.002736 0.004043 0.005611
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000122 0.000692 0.001609 0.002801 0.004190 0.005864
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000109 0.000700 0.001670 0.002938 0.004421 0.006210
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000077 0.000663 0.001665 0.002992 0.004553 0.006443
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000043 0.000607 0.001630 0.003006 0.004636 0.006618
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000030 0.000598 0.001662 0.003103 0.004817 0.006904
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000010 0.000549 0.001630 0.003118 0.004899 0.007076
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000002 0.000526 0.001636 0.003179 0.005034 0.007307